Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 1.606110 1.851410 2.121208 2.439922 2.806136 3.213780 3.702050
2025-05-04 1.293507 1.621795 2.013522 2.515270 3.140951 3.895692 4.875856
2025-05-11 1.059987 1.429300 1.902150 2.551684 3.420937 4.544699 6.109453
2025-05-18 0.854402 1.228997 1.739556 2.485790 3.548959 5.010309 7.174582
2025-05-25 0.685805 1.045456 1.563943 2.365173 3.572580 5.325849 8.069884
2025-06-01 0.586883 0.943034 1.483266 2.361312 3.753422 5.877784 9.372850
2025-06-08 0.499018 0.841630 1.386189 2.313273 3.853277 6.312786 10.548812
2025-06-15 0.462807 0.816143 1.402420 2.444018 4.249998 7.257434 12.659560
2025-06-22 0.419178 0.770708 1.377927 2.500642 4.526814 8.035285 14.589742
2025-06-29 0.371301 0.710095 1.317932 2.484866 4.671817 8.600475 16.216211
2025-07-06 0.316994 0.629383 1.210429 2.366554 4.612347 8.790031 17.177746
2025-07-13 0.296253 0.609302 1.211656 2.451158 4.941392 9.728105 19.660423
2025-07-20 0.280714 0.598400 1.231098 2.578273 5.378969 10.944431 22.885018
2025-07-27 0.259635 0.573117 1.218730 2.639873 5.694256 11.963203 25.857112
2025-08-03 0.237766 0.542893 1.192038 2.667704 5.943019 12.878864 28.741340
2025-08-10 0.210006 0.495546 1.122511 2.593076 5.960787 13.312129 30.645652
2025-08-17 0.181900 0.443116 1.034470 2.464162 5.838826 13.424698 31.846365
2025-08-24 0.166033 0.417016 1.002108 2.458359 5.996847 14.177768 34.613552
2025-08-31 0.149100 0.385810 0.953605 2.407361 6.040907 14.674516 36.841799
2025-09-07 0.145001 0.386019 0.980108 2.542783 6.555069 16.340257 42.130484
2025-09-14 0.136807 0.374494 0.976207 2.601327 6.885305 17.602904 46.583333
2025-09-21 0.125556 0.353223 0.944854 2.584720 7.020692 18.399403 49.949510
2025-09-28 0.110557 0.319541 0.876836 2.461578 6.859086 18.420591 51.280820